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Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Investing in the Web: Structural Change = Opportunity

Erick Schonfeld submits:

What are venture capitalists looking for? If you are a startup entrepreneur looking for funding, it’s always a good idea to know what investment themes a VC is interested and tailor your pitch to those themes. Yesterday morning, I saw presentations from three venture firms—Union Square Ventures, DFJ Gotham Ventures, and First Round Capital—at an event hosted by the Media Kitchen. Each of the presenters outlined some of the themes their venture firms are trying to ride. They all boil down to structural change in one form or another.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

Darden Restaurants F4Q08 (Qtr End 5/25/08) Earnings Call Transcript

Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)

F4Q08 Earnings Call


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

Research in Motion: Blackberry Bold Delayed, RBC Trims Guidance

Eric Savitz (Barron's) submits:

Research In Motion (RIMM) shares are lower this morning heading into the company’s announcement after the close of results for its fiscal first quarter ended May. The Street consensus is for revenue of $2.27 billion and profits of 85 cents a share.

Meanwhile, RBC Capital’s Mike Abramsky asserts in a research note this morning that AT&T (T) appears likely to launch the new 3G Blackberry Bold in mid-August, two or three weeks later than expected, “as it continues to stabilize the device” on its 3G HSPA network. He reports that the launch with Rogers in Canada is on track for July, with other carriers expected to offer the phone later in August.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

iShares Brazil Still Offers Rewards, but with Increasing Risks

Don Dion submits:

With a five-year annualized return of 55.6%, iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) has been the best-performing ETF tracked by Morningstar. The fund is also tops over three years (also 55.6%) and 14th among all ETFs, with a one-year return of 47.7%.

But EWZ stumbled over the last month, falling 11.3% (through June 20) to an eight-week low, thanks to a sell-off driven by concerns over global inflation and a potential dip in Chinas demand for the commodities that drive Brazils economic engine.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

The ATM at the Airlines

Glenn Alperin submits:

I won't go so far as to say the airlines are all in trouble, but surely a few of them are, and those that aren't in trouble are currently hurting very badly.  It's no wonder why, really.  The cost of jet fuel, much like the cost of gasoline, has put a serious crimp on the entire airline industry's ability to maintain a steady stream of profitability.  So, what are airlines to do?

Discussions continue to move forward on the part of Northwest (NWA) and Delta (DAL) on the prospect of a merger.  These discussions have been ongoing for months, and it remains to be seen whether or not the domestic airline industry has the ability and resources to pull through this difficult time, merger or not.  Personally, though, I'm rather disappointed in the efforts of the airlines to try to make this a viable industry in such a difficult time.  American Airlines (AMR), for example, decided that they were going to make up for the cost of jet fuel by adding a surcharge to bags checked at the curb, thus penalizing skycaps at Logan Airport whose tips were significantly reduced as a result of this fee.  (See full story here.)  Although this stance was later repealed as the result of a lawsuit, airlines still seem to be up to the same kind of tricks, but now, instead of cheating their skycaps, they are cheating their customers.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

Turkish Shareholders Association Plans to Sue the Turkish Central Bank

If you think that the closure case filed by the Judiciary’s top prosecutor against the current ruling party of Turkey, AKP, is hot stuff, clearly you have seen or experienced nothing when it comes to Turkish internal affairs.

First, I would like to make a civil statement due to hypocritical attitudes of certain European deputies who won’t miss an opportunity to criticize Turkey. The alleged concern here is that the Turkish Judiciary is “overstepping” into the Turkish political process.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]

Inflation: Pass It Through

Wall Street Weather submits:

The Federal Reserve has maintained a laissez-faire approach towards inflation, using the lack of “pass through” evidence as the basis in defending their position. After raising prices 20% last month, Dow Chemical (DOW) announced yesterday morning that it is increasing prices another 25% next month, and is instituting freight surcharges beginning in August. A survey of Chief Financial Officers released by Duke University last week* showed that nearly half of the CFOs surveyed intend to pass through higher commodity and energy costs their companies incur onto consumers. The CFOs expect prices for their products to rise by 4.1% over the next 12 months.

The Fed and their partners in the art of illusion over at the Bureau of Labor Statistics [BLS], have come up with some pretty creative ways over the years to mask the true rate of U.S. inflation. For readers interested in understanding more about what those methods are, I highly recommend Bill Gross’ June Investment Outlook.** Gross correctly asserts that if it wasn’t for statistical manipulation, the U.S. headline inflation rate would be inline with the global inflation rate which is currently 7%. The Fed and the government tries to brainwash us that we’re just so much more productive than other nations when the reality is that other countries take a straightforward approach in calculating inflation.


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[Source: SeekingAlpha.com: Home Page]